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There is no denying that after Democrats forced Joe Biden out of the presidential race and installed Kamala Harris as the Democrats’ nominee, she enjoyed a surge of support. The polls quickly swung her way, giving her leads in both the national average and in several swing states.
Democratswereelatedattheideathattheynotonlyhadachancebutalsothattheycouldhavetheelectioninthebagnow.Ofcourse,mostexpertsunderstoodthatKamala’shoneymoonwouldend,anditindeedhas.AstringofnewpollsshowTrumpgaininggroundandevenleadinginbothnationalandbattlegroundstates.
Thisweek,IreportedthatthehighlyratedNewYorkTimes/SienapollshowedTrumpaheadbyapoint—whichmaynotsoundlikeahugeleadbuttranslatestoanElectoralCollegevictorynonetheless.Also,NateSilver’slatestelectionmodelprojectionsgiveTrumpa63.8%chanceofvictory,comparedtoKamalaHarris’s36%.
WhilemanyontheleftareshruggingoffthesignificanceofSilver’smodelandevensomerecentpolls,CNN’selectionanalyst,HarryEnten,admittedonMondaythatHarrisisinserioustrouble,particularlyinPennsylvania.“SoIjustwantt
